Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Some good early results

Some sites I'm looking at to start off the day:

With the assumption that approximately 93% of registered party voters (registered Dems or Reps) vote with their candidate, early voting shows a large advantage for the Dems.  Early voting is usually more white and older than the demographics show this year.  

North Carolina shows a huge advantage for voting Dems.  There is also a huge registered voter advtange for Dems in NC.

According to the Rachel Maddow show on Air America last night, 300,000 more Dems than Reps had voted early in Florida as well.  

The George Mason site highlights that Dems out voted Reps in early voting by roughly 50% to 30% in many states.  A quick perusal did not show that Reps had outvoted Dems in any state in early voting.  The remaining 20% of voters are not registered to a party.  Some other data points to a trend for these independents to break for Obama as well.

Update:
A not-so-quick perusal showed that Reps did lead Dems in early voting in 2 states: Nebraska and Wyoming.  In both cases, Reps lead by 2:1.  Congrats Mac: you got 2!

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